2023 marked an inflection point for markets with strong gains across both stocks and bonds.
Stocks enter correction territory as geopolitical risks escalate, rates continue to increase
There’s an actual chance here the Fed could stick the landing.
The S&P 500 has now notched three consecutive quarters of strong returns, beginning with the fourth quarter of 2022.
Stocks rebound in Q1, led by technology shares. Outlook - Cash for short-term, bonds and gold for medium-term, stocks for long-term.
More than $12 trillion in value was erased from the U.S. stock market in 2022.
The sell-off across stocks and bonds deepened in the third quarter as hope faded that monetary tightening would soon ease, sending bond yields soaring and leaving US stocks on track for their worst year since the 2008 financial crisis.
Accelerating inflation and rising interest rates fueled months of risk aversion that sent markets sharply lower in the first half of the year. The relentless selling left few markets unscathed.
We believe that the US economy is now in the late stage of the business cycle.
Stocks accelerated their sell-off to start the week, before a remarkable mid-day turnaround, resulting in all US major indexes closing in the green.
US stocks saw a third consecutive year of strong performance, with major indexes closing 2021 near record highs.
The US Expected an Economic Takeoff. It Got a September Slowdown.
Volatility has increased in markets, however we do not believe this should be reason for concern or warrant selling US equities and has been long overdue.
Tech stock selling intensified overnight as market-based inflation measures hit the highest levels in ten years ahead of tomorrow's key April CPI reading.
While there may be more meaningful risk factors than usual at the moment, it can also be risky to take a defensive stance while rates remain low and the fiscal and monetary stimulus doesn’t show signs of slowing. A major potential of an infrastructure bill is bullish for equities and especially industrials. Cash is usually held for safety, but equities historically provide the greatest insulation from inflation.
The first month of 2021 was dominated by volatility as a wild battle between retail investors and hedge funds ensued.
Throughout 2020, our market analysis and recommendation have been based on a research report we wrote on March 27th, "Seeking Opportunities in Business Cycles". Our investment analysis has proved to be highly successful in a year riddled with fear, volatility, and uncertainty. We have correctly identified current stages of the business cycle as well as recommending the best performing equity indexes in both Q4 and for 2020 full-year.
Volatility has dominated markets just one week before the US elections. Investors have been spooked by record high in COVID-19 infections in the US, fresh lockdowns in Europe that threaten economic growth, and a mixed bag of earnings from big tech.
US equity markets finished their second straight quarter of big gains. The market’s run extended a historic and rapid recovery that few predicted in the depths of the March downturn, the likes of which we have never seen before.
Monday was a historic day for US equities as major indices posted their biggest drop since the global 2008 financial crisis and the largest single-day point drop for the Dow Jones Industrial Average ever (-2,013 points or -7.79%). The S&P 500 plunged 7.6% and the Nasdaq dropped 7.3%.
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